In the biological level, ageing outcomes within the effects with the accumulation of lots of molecular and cellular destruction eventually. This brings about a gradual reduce in Actual physical and mental potential, a growing hazard of sickness and ultimately Dying.
These information are entered into your Estimation and Projection Offer (EPP) software which fits a simple epidemiological product on the epidemic structure defined. EPP finds the most effective fitting curve that describes the evolution of adult HIV prevalence as time passes, and calibrates that curve based on prevalence present in any national surveys or default values just in case there isn't any national study offered. For nations with very little out there prevalence data (fewer than 3 steady surveillance web sites) a degree prevalence estimate and projection is produced employing spreadsheet types (the Workbook Technique). The ensuing point prevalence estimates for numerous decades are entered into EPP to discover the finest fitting curve that describes the evolution of adult HIV prevalence as time passes.
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